MLB · moneyline · Published system
4-game losers with decent pitching, game 5
Lost 4 straight, allowed 6.0 RPG or fewer during the streak. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
230-213 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.4%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 230-213 (n=443), won 51.9% (95% range 47.3% to 56.5%); break-even 49.0%; ROI after the vig +7.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 125-106, +13.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 105-107, +0.9%
- 2021
- 50-33 (n=83), ROI +29.1%
- 2022
- 44-42 (n=86), ROI +9.1%
- 2023
- 31-31 (n=62), ROI -1.9%
- 2024
- 25-34 (n=59), ROI -9.4%
- 2025
- 33-39 (n=72), ROI -4.1%
- 2026
- 47-34 (n=81), ROI +12.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.