MLB · moneyline · MoneyLine system
Any team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline
MLB: Any team at 2%+ EV, -200 to +200: moneyline. Machine rule: {"ev.ml.pct": {"min": 2}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.
79-65 since 2021, ROI after the vig +19.6%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 79-65 (n=144), won 54.9% (95% range 46.7% to 62.8%); break-even 45.8%; ROI after the vig +19.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 52-43, +17.8%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 27-22, +23.1%
- 2021
- 19-13 (n=32), ROI +28.4%
- 2022
- 19-17 (n=36), ROI +14.2%
- 2023
- 14-13 (n=27), ROI +10.1%
- 2024
- 16-9 (n=25), ROI +51.4%
- 2025
- 5-4 (n=9), ROI +13.9%
- 2026
- 6-9 (n=15), ROI -18.6%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.