MLB · spread · MoneyLine system
Any team at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: spread
MLB: Any team at 3%+ EV, -200 to +200: spread. Machine rule: {"ev.spread.pct": {"min": 3}, "ev.spread.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ats", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the spread.
33-30 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.8%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 33-30 (n=63), won 52.4% (95% range 40.3% to 64.2%); break-even 47.0%; ROI after the vig +10.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 18-13, +20.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 15-17, +1.5%
- 2021
- 4-2 (n=6), ROI +33.5%
- 2022
- 10-4 (n=14), ROI +52.3%
- 2023
- 4-7 (n=11), ROI -27.3%
- 2024
- 9-9 (n=18), ROI +7.6%
- 2025
- 3-5 (n=8), ROI -15.6%
- 2026
- 3-3 (n=6), ROI +5.9%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.