MLB · moneyline · MoneyLine system
Away team at 4%+ EV, priced -200 to +200: moneyline
MLB: back the away team when one book prices the bet at 4% EV or more against the other books' no-vig price, at a price from -200 to +200 (moneyline). Machine rule: {"listedSide": "away", "ev.ml.pct": {"min": 4}, "ev.ml.price": {"min": -200, "max": 200}}; bet {"market": "ml", "side": "team", "price": "ev_book"} Bet: back them on the moneyline.
17-13 since 2021, ROI after the vig +28.5%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2021–26 after the vig on a small sample (30 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 17-13 (n=30), won 56.7% (95% range 39.2% to 72.6%); break-even 43.0%; ROI after the vig +28.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 14-10, +32.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 3-3, +12.2%
- 2021
- 6-5 (n=11), ROI +25.0%
- 2022
- 4-4 (n=8), ROI +16.6%
- 2023
- 4-1 (n=5), ROI +74.5%
- 2024
- 1-2 (n=3), ROI -18.7%
- 2025
- 2-1 (n=3), ROI +43.0%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.