MLB · moneyline · Published system
Post-All-Star home underdogs
First three series after the All-Star break, home underdog. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
140-147 since 2021, ROI after the vig +8.2%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 140-147 (n=287), won 48.8% (95% range 43.0% to 54.5%); break-even 45.2%; ROI after the vig +8.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 81-88, +8.7%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 59-59, +7.4%
- 2021
- 28-21 (n=49), ROI +23.9%
- 2022
- 25-34 (n=59), ROI -1.0%
- 2023
- 28-33 (n=61), ROI +5.8%
- 2024
- 23-21 (n=44), ROI +13.9%
- 2025
- 19-16 (n=35), ROI +19.7%
- 2026
- 17-22 (n=39), ROI -10.8%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.