MLB · moneyline · Published system
Small road favorites in series openers
Game 1 of a series; road favorite -111 to -130. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
304-247 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.4%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 304-247 (n=551), won 55.2% (95% range 51.0% to 59.3%); break-even 54.4%; ROI after the vig +1.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 141-111, +2.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 163-136, +0.4%
- 2021
- 47-39 (n=86), ROI +0.7%
- 2022
- 44-29 (n=73), ROI +10.1%
- 2023
- 50-43 (n=93), ROI -1.6%
- 2024
- 58-43 (n=101), ROI +6.1%
- 2025
- 43-54 (n=97), ROI -18.7%
- 2026
- 62-39 (n=101), ROI +12.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.