MLB · moneyline · Published system
Fade teams going for the sweep as favorites
Series finale; team won the series' previous games (2+ straight vs this opponent) and is favored; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.
576-752 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.6%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 576-752 (n=1328), won 43.4% (95% range 40.7% to 46.1%); break-even 42.0%; ROI after the vig +2.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 281-387, +1.8%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 295-365, +3.4%
- 2021
- 98-149 (n=247), ROI -6.4%
- 2022
- 98-119 (n=217), ROI +12.4%
- 2023
- 85-119 (n=204), ROI +0.6%
- 2024
- 108-110 (n=218), ROI +15.5%
- 2025
- 97-133 (n=230), ROI -1.0%
- 2026
- 90-122 (n=212), ROI -4.4%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.