MLB · moneyline · Published system
Home favorites of -150 or shorter on a 3+ game losing streak
Home team, favorites of -150 or shorter, lost 3+ straight. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
214-109 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.8%.
Published system — made money in 2024 to 2026 after the vig but lost in 2021 to 2023. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 214-109 (n=323), won 66.3% (95% range 60.9% to 71.2%); break-even 65.5%; ROI after the vig +0.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 110-63, -4.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 104-46, +6.8%
- 2021
- 36-22 (n=58), ROI -5.3%
- 2022
- 34-14 (n=48), ROI +5.0%
- 2023
- 40-27 (n=67), ROI -10.2%
- 2024
- 34-12 (n=46), ROI +12.0%
- 2025
- 32-24 (n=56), ROI -13.1%
- 2026
- 38-10 (n=48), ROI +24.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.