MLB · moneyline · Published system
Post-All-Star road underdogs (first 3 series)
Road underdog in its first three series after the break. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
223-287 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.3%.
Published system — made money in 2024 to 2026 after the vig but lost in 2021 to 2023. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 223-287 (n=510), won 43.7% (95% range 39.5% to 48.1%); break-even 43.6%; ROI after the vig +1.3%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 89-143, -6.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 134-144, +7.8%
- 2021
- 38-53 (n=91), ROI +1.4%
- 2022
- 22-47 (n=69), ROI -19.9%
- 2023
- 29-43 (n=72), ROI -3.6%
- 2024
- 48-46 (n=94), ROI +12.5%
- 2025
- 43-44 (n=87), ROI +14.4%
- 2026
- 43-54 (n=97), ROI -2.8%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.