MLB · moneyline · Published system
Righty high-WHIP (1.40+) starter vs a lefty, favorite: fade
Righty high-WHIP (1.40+) starter vs a lefty, favorite: fade. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.hand": "R", "pitcher.whip": {"min": 1.4}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "opponent.pitcher.hand": "L", "line.ml": {"max": -101}} Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.
164-189 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.2%.
Published system — made money in 2024 to 2026 after the vig but lost in 2021 to 2023. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 164-189 (n=353), won 46.5% (95% range 41.3% to 51.7%); break-even 46.4%; ROI after the vig +1.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 67-101, -10.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 97-88, +11.6%
- 2021
- 27-33 (n=60), ROI -2.9%
- 2022
- 15-30 (n=45), ROI -25.2%
- 2023
- 25-38 (n=63), ROI -6.8%
- 2024
- 26-33 (n=59), ROI -5.1%
- 2025
- 29-26 (n=55), ROI +15.0%
- 2026
- 42-29 (n=71), ROI +22.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.