MLB · moneyline · Published system
Road underdogs of +150 or longer in series finales
Road team priced as underdogs of +150 or longer, series finales. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
291-522 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.4%.
Published system — made money in 2024 to 2026 after the vig but lost in 2021 to 2023. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 291-522 (n=813), won 35.8% (95% range 32.6% to 39.1%); break-even 34.8%; ROI after the vig +1.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 160-300, -1.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 131-222, +4.9%
- 2021
- 50-106 (n=156), ROI -8.8%
- 2022
- 58-102 (n=160), ROI +4.5%
- 2023
- 52-92 (n=144), ROI +0.4%
- 2024
- 50-87 (n=137), ROI +4.6%
- 2025
- 45-84 (n=129), ROI -2.4%
- 2026
- 36-51 (n=87), ROI +16.2%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.