BettingLab

MLB · moneyline · Published system

Series openers on 3+ win streak

Opening game of a new series; team on 3+ game win streak. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

567-434 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.3%.

Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.

All bets, 2021 to 2026
567-434 (n=1001), won 56.6% (95% range 53.5% to 59.7%); break-even 54.7%; ROI after the vig +4.3%
Earlier seasons
2021 to 2023: 299-225, +4.0%
Later seasons
2024 to 2026: 268-209, +4.7%
2021
105-87 (n=192), ROI -1.7%
2022
101-65 (n=166), ROI +8.8%
2023
93-73 (n=166), ROI +5.8%
2024
81-64 (n=145), ROI +4.4%
2025
98-75 (n=173), ROI +5.5%
2026
89-70 (n=159), ROI +4.1%

How this is graded

This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.

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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.