MLB · total · Published system
Starter threw 110+ pitches last start: over
Starter threw 110+ pitches last start: over. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "pitcher.last.pitches": {"min": 110}} Bet: bet the over.
159-130-7 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.2%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 159-130-7 (n=289), won 55.0% (95% range 49.3% to 60.7%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +5.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 115-97-5, +3.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 44-33-2, +9.5%
- 2021
- 43-45-3 (n=88), ROI -6.6%
- 2022
- 36-36-1 (n=72), ROI -4.5%
- 2023
- 36-16-1 (n=52), ROI +32.2%
- 2024
- 15-13 (n=28), ROI +2.5%
- 2025
- 16-16-1 (n=32), ROI -4.1%
- 2026
- 13-4-1 (n=17), ROI +46.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.