MLB · moneyline · Published system
Underdog whose starter has the lower WHIP (1.20 or lower vs 1.35+)
Underdog whose starter has the lower WHIP (1.20 or lower vs 1.35+). Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "line.ml": {"min": 100}, "pitcher.whip": {"max": 1.2}, "pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}, "opponent.pitcher.whip": {"min": 1.35}, "opponent.pitcher.seasonStarts": {"min": 5}} Bet: back them on the moneyline.
132-151 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.4%.
Published system — made money in 2024 to 2026 after the vig but lost in 2021 to 2023. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021 to 2026
- 132-151 (n=283), won 46.6% (95% range 40.9% to 52.5%); break-even 45.0%; ROI after the vig +4.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021 to 2023: 57-77, -4.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024 to 2026: 75-74, +12.0%
- 2021
- 23-26 (n=49), ROI +7.7%
- 2022
- 16-24 (n=40), ROI -8.2%
- 2023
- 18-27 (n=45), ROI -13.3%
- 2024
- 36-31 (n=67), ROI +22.4%
- 2025
- 22-24 (n=46), ROI +4.9%
- 2026
- 17-19 (n=36), ROI +1.8%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021 to 2026 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.