NBA · spread_h1 · Published system
1H ATS 60%+ vs 1H ATS 40% or lower: 1H spread
1H ATS 60%+ vs 1H ATS 40% or lower: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonAtsPct": {"min": 0.6}, "opponent.derived.h1SeasonAtsPct": {"max": 0.4}, "derived.h1SeasonAtsWins": {"min": 4}, "opponent.derived.h1SeasonAtsLosses": {"min": 4}} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
103-81 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.6%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 103-81 (n=184), won 56.0% (95% range 48.8% to 63.0%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +6.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 47-33, +11.7%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 56-48, +2.6%
- 2023-24
- 47-33 (n=80), ROI +11.7%
- 2024-25
- 20-18 (n=38), ROI +0.5%
- 2025-26
- 36-30 (n=66), ROI +3.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.