NBA · spread · Published system
Altitude home team back from a trip
Denver or Utah in its first home game after a 3+ game road trip. Bet: back them on the spread.
37-27-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.6%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 37-27-1 (n=64), won 57.8% (95% range 45.6% to 69.1%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +10.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 19-17-1, +1.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 18-10, +23.0%
- 2021-22
- 4-7 (n=11), ROI -30.5%
- 2022-23
- 9-4-1 (n=13), ROI +32.4%
- 2023-24
- 6-6 (n=12), ROI -4.3%
- 2024-25
- 9-7 (n=16), ROI +7.8%
- 2025-26
- 9-3 (n=12), ROI +43.2%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.