NBA · total · Published system
Eliminated team vs a race team, over
One team eliminated, the other still alive; bet the over. Bet: bet the over.
161-127-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.9%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 161-127-1 (n=288), won 55.9% (95% range 50.1% to 61.5%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +6.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 98-72-1, +10.2%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 63-55, +2.1%
- 2021-22
- 25-23-1 (n=48), ROI -0.6%
- 2022-23
- 26-25 (n=51), ROI -2.5%
- 2023-24
- 47-24 (n=71), ROI +26.5%
- 2024-25
- 26-25 (n=51), ROI -2.6%
- 2025-26
- 37-30 (n=67), ROI +5.6%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.