NBA · spread · Published system
Fade away B2B vs rested home team
Road team on B2B (both games away) vs home team on 2 days rest. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.
63-52-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.8%.
Published system — made money in 2024-25 to 2025-26 after the vig but lost in 2021-22 to 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 63-52-1 (n=115), won 54.8% (95% range 45.7% to 63.6%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +4.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 41-41-1, -4.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 22-11, +27.7%
- 2021-22
- 15-13-1 (n=28), ROI +2.4%
- 2022-23
- 10-19 (n=29), ROI -34.2%
- 2023-24
- 16-9 (n=25), ROI +22.3%
- 2024-25
- 9-5 (n=14), ROI +23.7%
- 2025-26
- 13-6 (n=19), ROI +30.7%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.