NBA · moneyline_h1 · MoneyLine system
Fast starter (+5) as an underdog: 1H moneyline
Fast starter (+5) as an underdog: 1H moneyline. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 5}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "line.spread": {"gt": 0}} Bet: back them on the 1st half moneyline.
64-82-3 since 2023, ROI after the vig +3.2%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 64-82-3 (n=146), won 43.8% (95% range 36.0% to 51.9%); break-even 43.1%; ROI after the vig +3.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 27-30, +8.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 37-52-3, +0.1%
- 2023-24
- 27-30 (n=57), ROI +8.0%
- 2024-25
- 13-21 (n=34), ROI -5.5%
- 2025-26
- 17-25-2 (n=42), ROI -5.7%
- 2026-27
- 7-6-1 (n=13), ROI +33.4%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.