NBA · total_h1 · Published system
High total (232.5+), both teams averaging 120+ over the last 3, under (first half)
Closing total (232.5+), both teams averaging 120+ over the last 3; bet the under. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half under.
101-85 since 2023, ROI after the vig +3.8%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 101-85 (n=186), won 54.3% (95% range 47.1% to 61.3%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +3.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 40-30, +9.2%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 61-55, +0.5%
- 2023-24
- 40-30 (n=70), ROI +9.2%
- 2024-25
- 25-23 (n=48), ROI -0.2%
- 2025-26
- 36-32 (n=68), ROI +1.0%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.