NBA · total_h1 · Published system
High total (232.5+), both teams went under by 10+ last game, over (first half)
Closing total (232.5+), both teams went under by 10+ last game; bet the over. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half over.
55-46 since 2023, ROI after the vig +3.7%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 55-46 (n=101), won 54.5% (95% range 44.8% to 63.8%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +3.7%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 21-17, +5.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 34-29, +2.9%
- 2023-24
- 21-17 (n=38), ROI +5.1%
- 2024-25
- 11-11 (n=22), ROI -4.8%
- 2025-26
- 23-18 (n=41), ROI +7.0%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.