NBA · total_h1 · Published system
High total (232.5+), road team on a back-to-back, over (first half)
Closing total (232.5+), road team on a back-to-back; bet the over. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half over.
107-94-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +1.5%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 107-94-1 (n=201), won 53.2% (95% range 46.3% to 60.0%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +1.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 39-33, +3.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 68-61-1, +0.5%
- 2023-24
- 39-33 (n=72), ROI +3.3%
- 2024-25
- 26-21-1 (n=47), ROI +5.3%
- 2025-26
- 42-40 (n=82), ROI -2.3%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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