NBA · spread · Published system
Home favorite of 10+ seeking revenge for a 10+ point loss
Home team, favorite of 10+ at the close, lost the last meeting this season by 10+. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
37-26-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +12.1%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 37-26-3 (n=63), won 58.7% (95% range 46.4% to 70.0%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +12.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 16-14-2, +2.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 21-12-1, +21.3%
- 2021-22
- 6-7 (n=13), ROI -12.0%
- 2022-23
- 3-4-1 (n=7), ROI -17.8%
- 2023-24
- 7-3-1 (n=10), ROI +34.1%
- 2024-25
- 11-7 (n=18), ROI +16.4%
- 2025-26
- 10-5-1 (n=15), ROI +27.2%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.