NBA · spread_h1 · MoneyLine system
Home favorite of 10+ seeking revenge for a 10+ point loss (first half)
Home team, favorite of 10+ at the close, lost the last meeting this season by 10+. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
31-14 since 2023, ROI after the vig +30.9%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig on a small sample (45 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 31-14 (n=45), won 68.9% (95% range 54.3% to 80.5%); break-even 52.7%; ROI after the vig +30.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 11-0, +89.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 20-14, +11.9%
- 2023-24
- 11-0 (n=11), ROI +89.6%
- 2024-25
- 12-6 (n=18), ROI +27.1%
- 2025-26
- 8-8 (n=16), ROI -5.2%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.