NBA · spread · Published system
Home team with a 2+ day rest edge
Home team with 2+ more days of rest. Bet: back them on the spread.
208-151-6 since 2021, ROI after the vig +10.8%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 208-151-6 (n=359), won 57.9% (95% range 52.8% to 62.9%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +10.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 136-101-5, +9.7%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 72-50-1, +12.9%
- 2021-22
- 46-36-2 (n=82), ROI +7.1%
- 2022-23
- 55-37-2 (n=92), ROI +14.3%
- 2023-24
- 35-28-1 (n=63), ROI +6.2%
- 2024-25
- 35-26 (n=61), ROI +9.8%
- 2025-26
- 37-24-1 (n=61), ROI +15.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.