NBA · spread_h1 · MoneyLine system
Home underdog of 4.5 or less on a 4+ game win streak (first half)
Home team, underdog of 4.5 or less at the close, has won 4+ straight. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.
31-18-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +20.3%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig on a small sample (49 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 31-18-1 (n=49), won 63.3% (95% range 49.3% to 75.3%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +20.3%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 11-5-1, +30.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 20-13, +15.4%
- 2023-24
- 11-5-1 (n=16), ROI +30.4%
- 2024-25
- 7-5 (n=12), ROI +12.5%
- 2025-26
- 12-8 (n=20), ROI +13.6%
- 2026-27
- 1-0 (n=1), ROI +87.3%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.