NBA · spread_h1 · Published system
Long homestand, game 5+ (first half)
Home team in game 5+ of a homestand. First-half bet. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.
138-112-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +5.5%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 138-112-1 (n=250), won 55.2% (95% range 49.0% to 61.2%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +5.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 54-44, +5.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 84-68-1, +5.7%
- 2023-24
- 54-44 (n=98), ROI +5.1%
- 2024-25
- 51-34-1 (n=85), ROI +14.9%
- 2025-26
- 33-34 (n=67), ROI -5.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.