NBA · total_h1 · MoneyLine system
Low total (220 or less), day game, under (first half)
Closing total (220 or less), day game; bet the under. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half under.
38-34-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +0.7%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 38-34-1 (n=72), won 52.8% (95% range 41.4% to 63.9%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +0.7%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 17-15, +1.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 21-19-1, +0.3%
- 2023-24
- 17-15 (n=32), ROI +1.1%
- 2024-25
- 12-11-1 (n=23), ROI -0.6%
- 2025-26
- 9-8 (n=17), ROI +1.6%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.