NBA · total_h1 · Published system
Low total (220 or less), division game, under (first half)
Closing total (220 or less), division game; bet the under. First-half total. Bet: bet the 1st half under.
95-73-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +7.9%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 95-73-2 (n=168), won 56.5% (95% range 49.0% to 63.8%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +7.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 37-27-1, +10.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 58-46-1, +6.5%
- 2023-24
- 37-27-1 (n=64), ROI +10.1%
- 2024-25
- 35-34 (n=69), ROI -3.3%
- 2025-26
- 23-12-1 (n=35), ROI +25.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.