NBA · spread_h1 · Published system
Off a home loss as a 10+ favorite (first half)
Lost its last game at home as a 10+ point favorite. First-half bet. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
56-40 since 2023, ROI after the vig +11.2%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 56-40 (n=96), won 58.3% (95% range 48.3% to 67.7%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +11.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 16-9, +21.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 40-31, +7.5%
- 2023-24
- 16-9 (n=25), ROI +21.6%
- 2024-25
- 19-14 (n=33), ROI +9.9%
- 2025-26
- 21-17 (n=38), ROI +5.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.