NBA · spread · Published system
Opposite 4-game streaks: back the loser
Team on 4+ game losing streak vs team on 4+ win streak. Bet: back them on the spread.
66-59 since 2021, ROI after the vig +0.9%.
Published system — made money in 2024-25 to 2025-26 after the vig but lost in 2021-22 to 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 66-59 (n=125), won 52.8% (95% range 44.1% to 61.3%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +0.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 35-35, -4.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 31-24, +7.8%
- 2021-22
- 15-13 (n=28), ROI +2.3%
- 2022-23
- 9-7 (n=16), ROI +7.6%
- 2023-24
- 11-15 (n=26), ROI -19.1%
- 2024-25
- 15-10 (n=25), ROI +14.6%
- 2025-26
- 16-14 (n=30), ROI +2.0%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.