NBA · spread_h1 · MoneyLine system
Playoff home team off a home loss (first half)
Playoff home team that lost its last game at home. First-half bet. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
31-16-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +25.1%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2023–27 after the vig on a small sample (47 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 31-16-1 (n=47), won 66.0% (95% range 51.7% to 77.8%); break-even 52.7%; ROI after the vig +25.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 10-3, +45.8%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 21-13-1, +17.2%
- 2023-24
- 10-3 (n=13), ROI +45.8%
- 2024-25
- 12-5-1 (n=17), ROI +34.3%
- 2025-26
- 9-8 (n=17), ROI +0.2%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.