NBA · total · Published system
Rematch after an over, under
Second straight game vs the same opponent after an over; bet the under. Bet: bet the under.
163-144-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.5%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 163-144-1 (n=307), won 53.1% (95% range 47.5% to 58.6%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +1.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 102-89-1, +2.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 61-55, +0.5%
- 2021-22
- 34-19-1 (n=53), ROI +22.6%
- 2022-23
- 34-39 (n=73), ROI -10.9%
- 2023-24
- 34-31 (n=65), ROI +0.1%
- 2024-25
- 29-29 (n=58), ROI -4.4%
- 2025-26
- 32-26 (n=58), ROI +5.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.