NBA · spread · Published system
Rest advantage (4+ days vs short rest)
Team with 4+ days rest vs opponent on 0-1 days rest. Bet: back them on the spread.
34-24-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +12.0%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 34-24-2 (n=58), won 58.6% (95% range 45.8% to 70.4%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +12.0%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 19-13-1, +13.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 15-11-1, +10.3%
- 2021-22
- 5-6 (n=11), ROI -13.6%
- 2022-23
- 9-2-1 (n=11), ROI +56.6%
- 2023-24
- 5-5 (n=10), ROI -4.7%
- 2024-25
- 9-6-1 (n=15), ROI +14.7%
- 2025-26
- 6-5 (n=11), ROI +4.3%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.