NBA · spread · MoneyLine system
Road favorite of 4.5 or less on a 4+ game losing streak
Road team, favorite of 4.5 or less at the close, has lost 4+ straight. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
23-12-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +25.5%.
MoneyLine system — made money 2021–27 after the vig on a small sample (35 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 23-12-1 (n=35), won 65.7% (95% range 49.1% to 79.2%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +25.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 11-4, +39.9%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 12-8-1, +14.7%
- 2021-22
- 3-1 (n=4), ROI +43.0%
- 2022-23
- 5-2 (n=7), ROI +36.8%
- 2023-24
- 3-1 (n=4), ROI +42.3%
- 2024-25
- 6-4 (n=10), ROI +14.8%
- 2025-26
- 6-4-1 (n=10), ROI +14.6%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.