NBA · spread · Published system
Road underdog of 10+ with more rest
Road team, underdog of 10+ at the close, has more rest than its opponent. Bet that team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
75-64-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.3%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 75-64-2 (n=139), won 54.0% (95% range 45.7% to 62.0%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +3.3%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 41-33, +5.9%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 34-31-2, +0.2%
- 2021-22
- 18-13 (n=31), ROI +10.9%
- 2022-23
- 5-6 (n=11), ROI -13.2%
- 2023-24
- 18-14 (n=32), ROI +7.7%
- 2024-25
- 14-16 (n=30), ROI -10.6%
- 2025-26
- 20-15-2 (n=35), ROI +9.4%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.