NBA · spread_h1 · Published system
Road underdog of 5 to 9.5 off 3+ straight covers (first half)
Road team, underdog of 5 to 9.5 at the close, covered 3+ straight. Bet its opponent ATS. First-half spread. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.
68-53 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.6%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 68-53 (n=121), won 56.2% (95% range 47.3% to 64.7%); break-even 52.6%; ROI after the vig +6.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 23-15, +14.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 45-38, +3.0%
- 2023-24
- 23-15 (n=38), ROI +14.5%
- 2024-25
- 24-18 (n=42), ROI +8.7%
- 2025-26
- 21-20 (n=41), ROI -2.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.