NBA · spread_h1 · Published system
Road underdog of 5 to 9.5 off 3+ straight non-covers (first half)
Road team, underdog of 5 to 9.5 at the close, failed to cover 3+ straight. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
55-38-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +13.2%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 55-38-1 (n=93), won 59.1% (95% range 49.0% to 68.6%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +13.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 20-9-1, +32.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 35-29, +4.7%
- 2023-24
- 20-9-1 (n=29), ROI +32.0%
- 2024-25
- 20-17 (n=37), ROI +3.5%
- 2025-26
- 15-12 (n=27), ROI +6.3%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.