NBA · spread_h1 · Published system
Road underdog of 5 to 9.5 seeking revenge for a 10+ point loss (first half)
Road team, underdog of 5 to 9.5 at the close, lost the last meeting this season by 10+. Bet that team ATS. First-half spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
101-72-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +11.8%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 101-72-1 (n=173), won 58.4% (95% range 50.9% to 65.5%); break-even 52.2%; ROI after the vig +11.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 39-26-1, +14.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 62-46, +10.1%
- 2023-24
- 39-26-1 (n=65), ROI +14.6%
- 2024-25
- 28-27 (n=55), ROI -2.3%
- 2025-26
- 34-19 (n=53), ROI +23.0%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.