NBA · spread_h1 · Published system
Tanking team, final 20 games (first half)
Team under .300 in its final 20 regular-season games. First-half bet. Bet: bet their opponent on the 1st half spread.
134-106-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.3%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 134-106-2 (n=240), won 55.8% (95% range 49.5% to 62.0%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +6.3%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 49-37-2, +8.2%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 85-69, +5.3%
- 2023-24
- 49-37-2 (n=86), ROI +8.2%
- 2024-25
- 42-35 (n=77), ROI +4.1%
- 2025-26
- 43-34 (n=77), ROI +6.4%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.