NBA · total · Published system
Tanking team, final 20 games, over
Team under .300 in its final 20 regular-season games; bet the over. Bet: bet the over.
207-181-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.9%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 207-181-3 (n=388), won 53.3% (95% range 48.4% to 58.3%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +1.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 116-104-1, +0.8%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 91-77-2, +3.5%
- 2021-22
- 33-36-1 (n=69), ROI -8.7%
- 2022-23
- 29-28 (n=57), ROI -2.7%
- 2023-24
- 54-40 (n=94), ROI +9.8%
- 2024-25
- 39-41-1 (n=80), ROI -6.9%
- 2025-26
- 52-36-1 (n=88), ROI +12.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.