NBA · spread · Published system
Team facing playoff elimination
Team facing elimination in a playoff series. Bet: back them on the spread.
55-44-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.5%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 55-44-1 (n=99), won 55.6% (95% range 45.7% to 65.0%); break-even 52.2%; ROI after the vig +6.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 35-26, +10.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 20-18-1, +0.9%
- 2021-22
- 10-9 (n=19), ROI +1.1%
- 2022-23
- 13-9 (n=22), ROI +12.9%
- 2023-24
- 12-8 (n=20), ROI +15.1%
- 2024-25
- 9-9-1 (n=18), ROI -4.3%
- 2025-26
- 11-9 (n=20), ROI +5.6%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.