NBA · spread · Published system
West team in an early East tip
Pacific or Mountain-zone team playing in the Eastern zone before 4 pm ET. Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.
24-13 since 2021, ROI after the vig +23.9%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig on a small sample (37 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 24-13 (n=37), won 64.9% (95% range 48.8% to 78.2%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +23.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 14-9, +16.2%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 10-4, +36.7%
- 2021-22
- 6-3 (n=9), ROI +27.2%
- 2022-23
- 6-3 (n=9), ROI +27.3%
- 2023-24
- 2-3 (n=5), ROI -23.6%
- 2024-25
- 3-2 (n=5), ROI +14.7%
- 2025-26
- 7-2 (n=9), ROI +49.0%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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