NFL · total · Published system
After thanksgiving, total 44-47.5 overs
NFL regular season after Thanksgiving, total 44-47.5: Over. Bet: bet the over.
81-68-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.9%.
Published system — made money in 2024-25 to 2026-27 after the vig but lost in 2021-22 to 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 81-68-1 (n=149), won 54.4% (95% range 46.4% to 62.2%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +3.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 49-45, -0.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 32-23-1, +11.3%
- 2021-22
- 17-26 (n=43), ROI -24.6%
- 2022-23
- 18-9 (n=27), ROI +27.3%
- 2023-24
- 14-10 (n=24), ROI +11.5%
- 2024-25
- 20-13-1 (n=33), ROI +15.8%
- 2025-26
- 12-10 (n=22), ROI +4.4%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.