NFL · total_h1 · Published system
Both teams 1H Last5 points avg 26+: 1H over
Both teams 1H Last5 points avg 26+: 1H over. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "side": "home", "derived.h1Last5PointsAvg": {"min": 26}, "opponent.derived.h1Last5PointsAvg": {"min": 26}} Bet: bet the 1st half over.
18-10 since 2023, ROI after the vig +22.4%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig on a small sample (28 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 18-10 (n=28), won 64.3% (95% range 45.8% to 79.3%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +22.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 3-2, +12.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 15-8, +24.5%
- 2023-24
- 3-2 (n=5), ROI +12.6%
- 2024-25
- 8-4 (n=12), ROI +26.2%
- 2025-26
- 7-4 (n=11), ROI +22.7%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
Want these edges in your pocket?
Juiced surfaces today's +EV bets and arbitrage on your phone — same data, sorted by ROI.
For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.