NFL · spread · Published system
Division road dog of 3.5 to 6.5
NFL regular season, division game, road dog of 3.5 to 6.5: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
55-39 since 2021, ROI after the vig +11.4%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 55-39 (n=94), won 58.5% (95% range 48.4% to 67.9%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +11.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 35-26, +9.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 20-13, +15.8%
- 2021-22
- 13-6 (n=19), ROI +29.9%
- 2022-23
- 16-9 (n=25), ROI +21.9%
- 2023-24
- 6-11 (n=17), ROI -33.0%
- 2024-25
- 10-7 (n=17), ROI +13.1%
- 2025-26
- 10-6 (n=16), ROI +18.6%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.