NFL · spread · Published system
Division road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5
NFL regular season, division game, road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
36-32 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.5%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 36-32 (n=68), won 52.9% (95% range 41.2% to 64.3%); break-even 52.2%; ROI after the vig +1.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 18-16, +1.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 18-16, +1.7%
- 2021-22
- 9-8 (n=17), ROI +1.3%
- 2022-23
- 7-5 (n=12), ROI +12.0%
- 2023-24
- 2-3 (n=5), ROI -23.8%
- 2024-25
- 6-7 (n=13), ROI -11.8%
- 2025-26
- 8-8 (n=16), ROI -3.8%
- 2026-27
- 4-1 (n=5), ROI +54.2%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.