NFL · spread · Published system
Division road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a loss
NFL regular season, division game, road favorite of 3.5 to 6.5 off a loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
14-9 since 2021, ROI after the vig +16.6%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig on a small sample (23 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 14-9 (n=23), won 60.9% (95% range 40.8% to 77.8%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +16.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 8-4, +27.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 6-5, +4.9%
- 2021-22
- 5-1 (n=6), ROI +59.2%
- 2022-23
- 2-2 (n=4), ROI -4.6%
- 2023-24
- 1-1 (n=2), ROI -5.0%
- 2024-25
- 2-3 (n=5), ROI -23.2%
- 2025-26
- 2-2 (n=4), ROI -4.3%
- 2026-27
- 2-0 (n=2), ROI +93.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.