NFL · spread_h1 · Published system
Early-round playoff 1H underdogs
Postseason, Wild Card and Divisional rounds. Bet the underdog on the 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
16-12-1 since 2023, ROI after the vig +9.3%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig on a small sample (28 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 16-12-1 (n=28), won 57.1% (95% range 39.1% to 73.5%); break-even 52.1%; ROI after the vig +9.3%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 5-4, +6.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 11-8-1, +10.6%
- 2023-24
- 5-4 (n=9), ROI +6.6%
- 2024-25
- 7-3 (n=10), ROI +33.1%
- 2025-26
- 4-5-1 (n=9), ROI -14.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.