NFL · spread · Published system
Fade road teams off a Monday game
Road team on Sunday whose last game was a Monday (6 days earlier). Bet: bet their opponent on the spread.
43-38-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.7%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 43-38-1 (n=81), won 53.1% (95% range 42.3% to 63.6%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +1.7%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-20-1, +0.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 21-18, +3.5%
- 2021-22
- 3-7 (n=10), ROI -43.4%
- 2022-23
- 10-6 (n=16), ROI +19.8%
- 2023-24
- 9-7-1 (n=16), ROI +7.5%
- 2024-25
- 7-13 (n=20), ROI -32.6%
- 2025-26
- 10-5 (n=15), ROI +28.0%
- 2026-27
- 4-0 (n=4), ROI +91.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.